Macro Maps

Japan economy at a glance

Latest figures for Japan: inflation, growth, interest rates, jobs, bond yields, debt and taxes. Updated . Open Japan on the interactive map →

Key figures

IndicatorLatestPeriodPrevious
Inflation (consumer prices, year on year)2.1%September 20261.9% August 2026
Core inflation (excluding food and energy)2.1%September 20261.7% August 2026
Real GDP growth (year on year)0.9%Q2 20260.6% Q1 2026
Policy rate (Bank of Japan)1.25%November 20261.25% October 2026
Unemployment rate2.4%September 20262.5% August 2026
10-year government bond yield3.05%September 20262.94% August 2026
Manufacturing PMI (S&P Global Japan Manufacturing PMI)53.3October 202654.1 September 2026
Retail sales (year on year)2.3%September 20262.9% August 2026
Industrial production (year on year)1.9%September 20262.7% August 2026
Wages (year on year)5.3%Q2 20263.5% Q1 2026
Stock market (Nikkei 225)57,435November 2026+14.3% over 12 months

Questions and answers

What is the inflation rate in Japan?

Japan's annual inflation rate was 2.1% in September 2026, up from 1.9% in August 2026.

What is the interest rate in Japan?

The Bank of Japan guideline for the uncollateralized overnight call rate is 1.25% (as of November 2026). The next rate decision is due on 18 December 2026.

How fast is Japan's economy growing?

Japan's real GDP grew 0.9% year on year in Q2 2026. The IMF's October 2026 World Economic Outlook forecasts growth of 0.7% in 2026 and 0.7% in 2027.

What is the unemployment rate in Japan?

Japan's unemployment rate was 2.4% in September 2026, down from 2.5% in August 2026.

What is Japan's 10-year government bond yield?

Japan's 10-year government bond yield averaged 3.05% in September 2026.

How much government debt does Japan have?

Japan's government debt is about 204.8% of GDP (latest annual figure), with a budget deficit of 0.7% of GDP.

What is the VAT rate in Japan?

Japan's standard VAT rate is 10% (2026 rules).

What is the corporate tax rate in Japan?

Japan's corporate income tax rate is 29.7% (2026 rules).

Who leads Japan?

Japan is led by Sanae Takaichi, Prime Minister (head of government); Emperor Naruhito (head of state). Next election: No national election scheduled; next regular House of Councillors election due mid-2028 (lower house can be dissolved at any time).

Outlook

Growth is modest (real GDP up 0.9% y/y in Q2 2026), but wage gains, a tight labour market and inflation the BOJ sees as near 2% support further normalisation; markets and some board members expect another hike, possibly by December (per Trading Economics coverage of BOJ comments). Upside: stronger pay and capex tied to the AI cycle. Downside: an AI-led equity correction (Nikkei fell from its June record), fiscal worries pushing JGB yields higher, and weak consumption if real wages stall.

Why Japan matters for the world economy

Japan matters most to the world through its capital: as the largest creditor nation, rising JGB yields (now near 3%) and further BOJ hikes raise the chance that Japanese investors bring money home, which would put upward pressure on US, European and Australian bond yields and unwind yen-funded carry trades. The yen exchange rate also feeds into competitiveness for Korea, Taiwan, Germany and China in autos, machinery and electronics. In real terms, Japan is a key supplier of chipmaking equipment, materials and components to Taiwan, Korea, China and the US, so its exporters (Tokyo Electron, Advantest and others) are closely tied to the global AI investment cycle.

Politics

Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi leads a government that favours an expansionary fiscal stance, and markets are focused on how much new debt Tokyo will issue; in October 2026 she pledged to manage annual JGB issuance 'appropriately' to calm bond investors. The key economic-policy tension is between government support for growth and a Bank of Japan that has raised rates three times since December 2025, pushing 10-year JGB yields to around 3%.

System: Parliamentary constitutional monarchy.

Economy and taxes

GDP
US$4,453 billion
Population
123.3 million
Government debt
204.8% of GDP
Budget balance
−0.7% of GDP
Current account
4.7% of GDP
Exports
22.0% of GDP
Main exports
Motor vehicles and parts, semiconductor-making equipment and chips, industrial machinery, electronic components, steel, chemicals, optical and medical instruments
IMF growth forecast
0.7% in 2026, 0.7% in 2027
IMF inflation forecast
2.0% in 2026, 2.6% in 2027
Currency
JPY
Freelancer tax
A self-employed person earning the average wage (JPY 5,590,000 a year) pays about 32.2% of it in income tax and social contributions (2026 rules)
Top income tax rate
56.0%
Gold reserves
846.0 tonnes (September 2026)
Energy self-sufficiency
13% (2024)

Recent news

Headlines and summaries are compiled daily from the linked reports with AI assistance.

Sources